Wednesday, January 11, 2006
Discussion and forecasts
Posted by David Smith at 11:00 AM
Category: Thoughts and responses

Thanks to the many people who've joined and browsed out new and highly successful discussion forum. Click here to view or take part.

The forecasting league table has brought plenty of responses, most notably from the participants. Two points:
1. All those with the same marks should be ranked equally in the table, otherwise there's apparently a big disadvantage from having a name low down in the alphabet.
2. I rewarded those with a base rate prediction of 4.5% or below - even though some were well below - because they got the direction of rates right.